ORIOR is a Swiss food producer specializing in the processing of fresh foods. The company has many brands in its portfolio, including Rapelli, Ticinella, Nature Gourmet and Le Patron. Although it has only been listed on the stock exchange since 2010, Orior's origins go back a long way, to the 19th century. A little history is necessary to understand some of Orior's current fundamentals and get a better idea of its value.
History
1852: Louis Ormond founded the first tobacco factory in Vevey (VD). In 1930, he merged with Louis Rinsoz, who invented the famous "Meccarillos". The two companies were then among the most renowned Swiss cigarette producers and distributors.
1992: Rinsoz & Ormond Holding SA is transformed into ORIOR Holding SA and strategically aligns itself with the food industry. Several high-end prepared food companies are integrated into the group. In 1993, the company purchases the shares of the Rapelli group (Italian charcuterie) and the Trinca company (pasta).
1996: Participation and purchase of other well-established companies such as Le Patron (pâté and convenience), Pastinella (pasta), Traiteur Seiler (fresh pasta) and airline catering suppliers.
2008: The ORIOR Group takes over the well-known and traditional Grisons company Albert Spiess Holding AG. In 2009, ORIOR / Spiess Europe becomes a European export platform in Haguenau (F) and supplies the German and French markets.
In 2011, acquisition of the Ticino specialist company Salumeria Keller SA. The small, traditional company produces high-quality Ticino charcuterie specialities under its own brand "Val Mara". It is a valuable asset for the Rapelli competence centre and offers considerable growth potential. The company Bernatur, Switzerland's leading tofu producer, is also taken over.
In 2012, ORIOR acquired Möfag, a renowned manufacturer of meat specialities. The family business is well established in the Eastern Switzerland region and serves both the catering and retail sectors.
2014: ORIOR takes over the organic tofu specialist Noppa AG. With this borough, ORIOR further expands its vegetarian expertise.
In 2016, ORIOR took over the Culinor Food Group. ORIOR thus strengthened and expanded its core competencies in the growing market for premium convenience foods, beyond the Swiss border into Europe. The Culinor Food Group is the leading manufacturer of ready meals and menu components for the retail and catering sectors in the Benelux. The innovative group also sells its products in other European countries from the established main market in the Benelux.
Valorization
Orior is trading at an attractive price, at 14 times recurring earnings, 0.77 times sales and 11 times free cash flow. The dividend yield is also attractive, at 2.84%, for a distribution ratio that is nevertheless prudent (40% compared to earnings / 31.2% compared to free cash flow). The company therefore still has room to increase its dividend further in the future, as it has done very regularly, but not quickly, in the past (1.95% per year on average over the last five years).
From the point of view of tangible book value, however, it is clearly less good since the ratio amounts to 19.6. How can we explain that this last ratio seems to indicate an overvaluation while the other four say rather the opposite?
If we look at it from the point of view of the total book value (including tangible and intangible assets), the ratio is clearly better, since it amounts to 1.6. It is therefore consistent with the other valuation coefficients. This therefore means that Orior's non-tangible assets (intangibles and goodwill) are significant. Indeed, the latter represent 2.3 times the tangible assets. Usually I prefer to rely on very real elements, but here there is a bundle of clues that seem to indicate to us that there is real value behind these non-tangible assets.
First of all, as we have seen, the other four ratios show us that the stock is correctly valued, or even slightly undervalued, particularly in relation to sales. On the other hand, if we focus on non-tangible assets, we realize that goodwill is not only higher than tangible assets, and also higher than intangibles, but that it has also been increasing for several years.
When you buy Orior, you also buy the company's portfolio of assets, its many brands and acquisitions. The company's history shows us that it has grown particularly exogenously, by making targeted, intelligent and coherent purchases that allow it to generate both synergies and development opportunities. This explains Orior's growing and significant goodwill and also explains why the stock seems overvalued if we focus solely on tangible assets. Orior is much more than just a food manufacturer.
Starting from a small tobacco factory and knowing how to completely reorient oneself by reinvesting its assets in a diversified portfolio of Swiss and European food companies... in some ways it almost reminds us of a small textile company that transformed itself into an investment company.
Balance sheet & result
Just like the dividend, profits, cash reserves and asset values are growing religiously over the long term. Orior is clearly managing to create value for its owners over time and this is reflected in the share price which is also growing steadily.
Cash reserves are very comfortable, with a current ratio of 2.18 (very slightly down) and a reduced liquidity ratio of 1.32. The gross margin is up very slightly, at 22.2%, for a correct free cash flow margin of 7%. The return on assets is also up, at 5.8%, for an appreciable cash flow profitability of assets of 10.2%. Frankly not bad for a company in the food sector.
The long-term debt-to-asset ratio is certainly quite high, at 23.6%, but it is falling. Moreover, thanks to Orior's fairly significant capacity to generate cash, the entire debt could be repaid in just over three years by using its free cash flow.
It should also be noted that the number of shares in circulation is stable or even slightly downward over the long term, which is obviously good news for its owners.
Conclusion
Orior has an impressive history. It operates in a sector that protects it from market turmoil, which is corroborated by a beta of only 0.05! No risk of technological obsolescence and fairly well-contained overheads, it is the kind of stock that you can buy and forget about in a corner.
I believe that the stock is fairly valued at the moment. It is therefore clearly worth holding and possibly monitoring with a view to buying/increasing.
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That's right, a great company with a history full of twists and turns. I also own a small slice of Orior, a stock that I almost consider a bond because it's so easy-going.
What does not delight me is indeed the anemic growth of the dividend and the net profit margin as thin as pizza dough. At this level, Bell still has a slightly sexier profile!
Yes, or Emmi, but it's significantly more expensive!
Hello Jerome
If it progresses like the small textile company it will make many people happy...
What do you think of KHC which is below the purchase price of WB with a very low P/E of 6.93 and a fairly comfortable yield?
friendly
Antonio
Hi Antonio,
Where do you see a PER of 6.93 for KHC?
Hello Jerome
on my i-phone it says:
capitalization 74.44 billion
max 52 weeks 93.88
mini 52 weeks 60.49
price 60.73 today
PER 6.82 today because the stock fell yesterday
Yield 4.03 % at today's rate.
Considering that Warren Buffet bought it on the basis of 72.50 $ and to date it is at 60.73 $ this can be very interesting. Especially since he bought with 3G Capital (Lehmann Jorge Paulo) 3G has a reputation for increasing profits following their intervention.
As you have a lot of experience in analysis, your opinion seems very interesting to me.
After maybe the figures are not up to date….. obviously it is in $…
friendly
Antonio
You should never trust Apple, I've always said that :)
All joking aside, this proves to us once again the danger of investing by only looking at the PER indicated by financial sites.
It is important to look at other valuation ratios and also what is behind this P/E ratio.
In this case, of the USD 10,999 million net profit in 2017, USD 7,000 million came from extraordinary, therefore non-recurring, items.
In truth, the PER is not 6.82, but 18.5. That changes the situation considerably!
Warren certainly bought based on other criteria. I am thinking in particular:
– Average gross margin quite good
– average overhead costs quite good
– average net margin quite good
– goodwill up
– reasonable debt
– relatively low capital expenditure requirements
– price compared to tangible book value attractive
What bothers me much more, however, is the liquidity: very low and decreasing.
=> risks of payment difficulties and therefore also of maintaining the dividend…
Hello Jerome
Thank you for your very informative comments on KHC because your analyses go much further. Your experience is very profitable for us and it is true that the PER is very reductive if we take it alone.
Thanks again.
friendly
Antonio
My pleasure!
Activation of the trailing stop loss order 20%
Argh, too bad! I think it's the ultimate easy-going stock that you can keep for life without asking questions. Almost a bond with a dividend that barely grows, but solid like a well-cooked steak. 😉
Yes, I hesitated precisely because of that. But finally I decided to keep my same rule of protection for all my actions. And nothing prevents me from coming back to it in a while, like others of the kind. Bell, Emmi and others!
Isn't it time to come back to Orior? "Thanks" to Covid, the stock is almost 20% cheaper than at the beginning of the year. The business model is relatively resilient, the dividend seems assured to me and exceeds 3%. What makes me hesitate the most is above all the low % of equity...
Indeed, the dividend is interesting and well covered from the point of view of profits and FCF. As you said, one of the big black spots is the low equity rate, in other words the debt which is very significant. The debt represents 3.15 times the equity and the long-term debt rate 40% of assets. Not to mention that Orior has also issued shares in recent years. Despite the current interesting dividend of 3%, because of the debt and the issuance of shares, the return for the shareholder has averaged -4% per year over the last five years. Not great... Add to that the fact that the price/book value climbs to more than 6% which is huge. So not really my cup of tea, at least in these circumstances.
Thank you Jerome
The debt seems high to me but not easy to interpret: I read that Orior switched in 2018 from the IFRS accounting standard to Swiss GAAP FER and that since then the goodwill due to the last major acquisition was directly deducted from equity.
Thus, equity would be greater than 50% according to IFRS, but less than 20% according to Swiss GAAP FER. Quite a headache…
The gap occurred between fiscal year 2016 and 2017. 205 million of equity evaporated because of the change you mentioned, split between goodwill and intangibles. This explains why the book value is so important, because it actually corresponds to a tangible book value (tangible assets only). I had also mentioned the point of the strong intangibles component in the article.
Until 2018, this did not bother me, because as I mentioned:
"When you buy Orior, you also buy the company's portfolio of assets, its many brands and acquisitions. The company's history shows us that it has grown particularly exogenously, by making targeted, intelligent and coherent purchases that allow it to generate both synergies and development opportunities. This explains Orior's growing and significant goodwill and also explains why the stock seems overvalued if we focus solely on tangible assets. Orior is much more than just a food manufacturer."
However, things have changed a bit since then. The long-term debt-to-asset ratio has exploded from 23% to 40%, while the ability to generate free cash flow has not changed. The company would need more than 7 years today to repay all its debt using its FCF, which is too long.
The other point that has also changed is that until the 2017 fiscal year Orior kept the number of shares outstanding stable, or even decreased it. Since then it is just the opposite.
In short, increasing debt and share capital is not really how a shareholder would like a company to develop...
Thank you very much for these valuable explanations 🙂
With pleasure bro 😉