Hormel Foods Corp (HRL:NYQ) Analysis

The company Hormel Foods Corporation is an American food company based in southeastern Minnesota in the United States. It is known for its mass products and especially its brand of pre-cooked meat marketed since 1926. The company was founded by George A. Hormel in 1891 under the name George A. Hormel & Company in Minnesota. It was not until 1993 that it took the name Hormel Foods Corporation. It markets products under different brands including Chi-Chi's, Dinty Moore, Farmer John, Jennie-O, Lloyd's, Spam, Stagg and Hormel. It has 20,000 employees worldwide. 81% of American households have a Hormel product in their home.

Hormel currently trades at 21.4 times recurring earnings, 10.1 times tangible book value, 2 times sales, and 23 times free cash flow. That's pretty expensive, though relative to the rest of the US market it's still OK, especially since we're dealing with an aristocrat... This company has actually increased its dividend for a whopping 51 consecutive years.

The yield is not exceptional, with only 1.9%, but it is explained by a distribution ratio of 41% compared to earnings and 44% compared to free cash flow. This means that Hormel still has a good margin to continue increasing its dividend in the future, even in the event of a hard blow. The American company is therefore not ready to lose its crown. In addition, over the last five years, Hormel has increased its distributions at a sustained annual rate of 16.9%.

Just like the dividend, profits, cash reserves and asset values are growing over the long term, which proves the solidity of the American giant's business model. The company manages to create value for its owners over the long term, and this is reflected in the share price, which has more than tripled over the last ten years (while the S&P 500 has only doubled). If we go back further, we can even see that HRL has gained more than 2,000% over the last thirty years (compared to 1,000% for the S&P).

Cash reserves are sufficient, without being extraordinary, with a general liquidity ratio of 1.9 (very slightly down) and a reduced liquidity ratio of 1.05. The gross margin is also slightly down, at 21,86%, for a net margin of 9,24%. Also down, the return on assets, at 12,14%, for an appreciable return on equity of 18%.

The long-term debt-to-asset ratio is down to 3.58%. With the abundant free cash flow it generates, Hormel would theoretically be able to wipe its entire slate clean in less than four months! This gives an idea of the solidity of this company. Despite low debt, the food company has not needed to finance its expansion through other means, such as a capital increase. The number of shares outstanding has in fact been stable for several years, thus avoiding any dilution of shareholders' equity.

Hormel, with its history spanning three centuries, operates in a very defensive sector, which translates into a low beta (0.47). It has a diversified portfolio of brands, well established in the US, as well as in other countries. It is therefore difficult for new competitors to attack this behemoth. The risks of technological obsolescence are also relatively low. HRL is the kind of stock that you can buy and forget about in a corner.

That being said, as mentioned at the beginning of the article, the stock is trading at a fairly high price. This is clearly not a buying opportunity at the moment. However, despite its price, given the quality and history of the company, I believe that it is still a stock to hold.


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8 thoughts on “Analyse d’Hormel Foods Corp (HRL:NYQ)”

  1. Oh yes, that is really solid, we could eat it! The dividend has even just been increased to 0.75 cents, which is now a yield of 2.2%

  2. You're right, with the salary you have to be much more patient than with dividends. By the way, that reminds me of an old joke:

    A man looking for a job goes to a company:
    – Okay, you’re hired! You’ll earn 1200 Euros at the beginning, and much more later…
    – In that case, sir, I will come back later!

  3. ANTONIO martins

    Hello Jerome
    Very nice company which is expensive it's true but which is even considered a king because more than 50 years of dividend without decrease. 25 years for the aristocrats.
    Do you know Jerome an ETF following the aristocrats (51) or even better the kings? (21)
    It is true that American companies are generally very expensive, but an ETF tracking the whole would be interesting to follow and perhaps less expensive.
    I'm going a bit outside the box but given your experience I would like to have your opinion... if possible... having BRK I don't think I'll part with it no matter what but having another additional opportunity would be interesting.
    Best regards
    Antonio

    1. Hello Antonio
      There is NOBL at Proshares.
      But all of this is too expensive at the moment.
      Going through an ETF does not make the securities cheaper, quite the contrary!

  4. ANTONIO martins

    Hello Jerome
    Thanks for the answer. Of course an ETF does not make a stock cheaper but brings the comfort of not managing 51 stocks like the aristocrats or 21 stocks if we are talking about the kings.
    BRK beats the SP500 by a wide margin and that's great because by only managing one line it's very accessible and possible because you couldn't manage all 500 SP500 companies.
    I thought companies like Vanguard had created the same thing for the kings or aristocrats because for an individual having 51 lines to replicate the dividend aristocrats or 21 lines for the kings would be very heavy in management whereas for a fund or ETF it would be easier.
    Thanks for the articles.
    friendly
    Antonio

    1. Hi Antonio

      Yes, it's clear that's the big advantage of an ETF: it allows you to easily have a well-diversified portfolio with relatively little cost.
      I like to use them for minority asset positions in my portfolio, namely gold, bonds and real estate.
      And this way I can also focus my research mainly on my strategic positions, namely stocks that pay increasing dividends.

      That being said, ETFs also have flaws, I talk about them here:
      https://www.dividendes.ch/2017/08/comment-diversifier-son-portefeuille-pour-se-prevenir-des-risques-de-marche-1820/
      https://www.dividendes.ch/2017/08/comment-diversifier-son-portefeuille-pour-se-prevenir-des-risques-de-marche-1920/
      https://www.dividendes.ch/2017/08/comment-diversifier-son-portefeuille-pour-se-prevenir-des-risques-de-marche-2020/

      Vanguard offers the VIG ETF (achievers US – 10 years of dividend growth).
      SPDR offers SDY (US aristocrats – 25 years of dividend growth) and WDIV (international achievers – 10 years of dividend growth).
      Proshares offers NOBL which we have already discussed (US aristocrats – 25 years of dividend growth).

      Certainly among the ETFs above, there are a fair amount of gems listed. But not all of them are equally good and most are currently too expensive.
      I personally prefer to select the titles one by one, even among all these beautiful things!

      But for someone starting out with a small wallet or simply not wanting to worry too much, it's a good compromise.

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