Analysis of Liechtensteinische Landesbank (LLBN:SWX)

Liechtenstein, let's be honest, nobody cares... Nobody is interested in this tiny principality stuck between Switzerland and Austria and which has less than 40,000 inhabitants. The climate is rotten, the landscapes depressing.

And yet, Liechtenstein is the richest of the German-speaking countries and even has the luxury of having the highest GDP per capita in the world! Liechtenstein has no debt, it even has a "negative" debt, a reserve!

The country's economy is based mainly on the powerful financial sector located in its capital, Vaduz, which is also the residence of the princely family. Liechtenstein uses the Swiss franc as its national currency.

Historically, much of Liechtenstein's prosperity can be explained by its very low corporate tax rate, which has encouraged tens of thousands of companies to set up shop there, most often in the form of a simple PO Box. Oh, that reminds me of another country known for its watches and chocolate...

Founded in 1861, Liechtensteinische Landesbank is listed on the Swiss stock exchange and has a state guarantee (57.5% of the share capital is held by the Principality of Liechtenstein). In this respect, it is comparable to most Swiss cantonal banks. LLB itself holds 74% of the share capital of the St. Gallen-based Linth Bank (also listed on the Swiss stock exchange).

Like all other Liechtenstein banks, LLB has suffered greatly in recent years since Liechtenstein gave up attracting undeclared money and implementing the automatic exchange of information. But the worst seems to be over today, as evidenced in particular by the assets under management, which increased by 8.2% (to 50.3 billion) and the net profit, which increased by 7% in 2017.

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The bank is extremely well capitalized, with a Tier 1 capital ratio of 22.2%. The cost/income ratio of around 70% is however not optimal and should be improved over the coming years (LLB is targeting 65%).

The dividend has just been increased by 18%. At the current price of 54.20, this results in a very attractive yield of 3.7%. The payout ratio of 52% is reasonable and in line with the range of 40 to 60% targeted by LLB.

At the current price, the PBR is 0.9 and the 2018 PER is estimated at 14. Despite its recent performance, the stock is still interesting, even if the growth potential is no longer as high as it was one or two years ago. Personally, I would wait for prices close to 50 fr to initiate a position.

LLB aims to grow organically as well as through acquisitions. It is a bank that is both solid and dynamic, as its slogan says: “LLB - Tradition meets Innovation”.

As a conclusion, it is possible to invest in another Liechtenstein bank that is also listed on the Swiss stock exchange, VP Bank. Broadly speaking, it can be said that it is quite similar to LLB, both in terms of profile and valuation. Both are an interesting alternative to Swiss cantonal banks.


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8 thoughts on “Analyse de Liechtensteinische Landesbank (LLBN:SWX)”

  1. Thanks dividinde for this 'exotic' value.
    We'll have to go and file our papers there if the accounts are in the black!
    Interesting title. It's true that I never thought that we could also invest in securities from the principality! As you can see, we always manage to find new opportunities, even not very far from home.

    1. Yes, I like LLB and VP Bank and they are especially real growing dividends. These two banks have just increased the dividend by about 20% and yet the payout ratio remains reasonable.

  2. Philip of Habsburg

    Why do you say that landscapes are depressing? On Google Images there seem to be a lot of beautiful landscapes I find! Mountains, castles, green valleys, it's far from being depressing for me!

    1. Question of taste! For my part, I set foot there only once and I felt stuck between the mountains, the inhabitants looked at me like an alien and I just wanted to leave as quickly as possible.

  3. Yes, and we don't care about Switzerland as much as we do about Liechtenstein... to be clear and to dot the i's! 😉

  4. I just sold my LLB shares at 63.50, following the strong progression in recent weeks the PE now exceeds 16 and the dividend yield is only 3.1%. The company remains magnificent but I am no longer a buyer at this price.

  5. LLB is still too expensive (PER 16, dividend 3.1%). On the other hand, VP Bank is again a buy following the recent correction (PER 12, dividend 3.5%).

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